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PROFILE OF A WINNER: EIU'S PREDICTIONS ON APM VICTORY IN 2019 SO FAR

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For yet another time, the London-based think tank, the Economic Intelligence Unit (EIU), has predicted another victory for the DPP and President Arthur Peter Mutharika in the 2019 elections.

And as usual, the Opposition have dismissed the EIU for its prediction. 

 

EIU is one of the world’s most renowned research and analysis institutions.

 

We track EIU's recent predictions so far. Here is what the EIU said: 

 

 

MARCH 2016

 

EIU predicts President Peter Mutharika to be re-elected in 2019 elections.

 

EIU says Mutharika will win:

 

--Because he offers sound strategy for national development.

--Because "Despite vocal attacks on the government of President Mutharika", APM's closest challenger Lazarus Chakwera "struggles to offer any viable policy alternative." 

 

EIU notes however that Chakwera stands a chance only if Mutharika's economic recovery fails to take hold. 

 

At that time, the inflation rate was 22. 1 percent. Inflation is one of the biggest indicators for the state of an economy.

 

 

JULY 2016

 

EIU predicts President Peter Mutharika will in 2019 elections.

 

EIU says Mutharika will win because:

 

--Chakwera has tampered with his party's policy making body, the National Executive Committee,  resulting in deep divisions in the party

--Chakwera does not offer viable policy alternative for the development of the country

 

EIU says Mutharika could slip if economy worsens.

 

At that time, the inflation rate was 21.73 percent.

 

MARCH 2017

 

EIU predicts that President Peter Mutharika will win the elections due in 2019.

 

EIU says Mutharika will stay in power:

 

--- Because of robust delivery on his development programmes

--- For keeping the country stable

--- For restoring confidence in the economy battered by the Joyce Banda administration

--- Because his rivals are too divided to mount an effective challenge.

 

EIU warns Mutharika could slip if the economy worsens.

 

At that time, the inflation rate was at 16.10 percent.

 

 

JANUARY 2018

 

EIU predicts that President Peter Mutharika will win the 2019 election with landslide. 

 

EIU cites:

 

--APM's delivery on his robust development programme

--Continued growth in the economy

--Divisions in the Opposition 

as the main reasons why Mutharika will win again. 

 

The London-based think tank predicts that Malawi's economy will continue growing.

 

Inflation, one of the biggest indicators of the state of an economy, is at 7.1 precent. 

 

This is the first time for Malawi to register a 7.1 percent inflation rate since 1980.

Last modified on Saturday, 27 January 2018 13:42

4 comments

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